Connect with us

Insight

Where are the statisticians?

Published

on

Jesus! This has been a rather somber start to the New Year. In fact, there are no words to best explain this sad moment.
The most difficult news to stomach were of the passing of my friend Tjonane Matla and my priest Father Tlaba. It has just been a very difficult start to a year and not forgetting the passing on of Ntate Teboho Kitleli. But I think the news that gave me an “eish” moment was when I heard of the passing on of Major General Metsing Lekhanya.

That was an “eish” moment because I had planned to approach him to write a book and document some of Lesotho’s historical events and an insight into events related to the Lesotho highlands water project.
It would’ve been interesting to get his view on a range of matters such as the visit of Pope John Paul II and a hilarious story that I truly wished he could verify relating to the construction of phase I of the old Central Bank building (the brown building).

To digress a bit, there’s comical character that once told me of a story of what happened during the planning stages of the construction of the Central Bank building.
So this comical character told me that when plans of the central bank building were presented to the military council at Makoanyane barracks, the design was meant to be a majestic twelve storey building that would become the tallest building in Lesotho.

So the governor of the time went to present the designs with the architects before the military council. During the presentation one of the members of council saw the majestic design and immediately said, “If I stand at Thibella and shoot a bazooka, the bazooka will go through the building.”

Advertisement

Then the member of the military council pulled out a red pen out of his chest pocket and drew a line on the plan to demarcate the height of the building. That is how the old Central Bank building got dwarfed and I wish I could have interviewed Major General Lekhanya on that issue. I’m sure he could have laughed it off because he was usually pleasant when we met at Church.

With the passing on of Major General Lekhanya, history got wiped out just like that. In a snap of a finger. I’ve said this and will say it again, our major weakness as Basotho people is that we do not write. Secondly, we don’t document our history. I make mention of those names because they carried so much wealth of knowledge and value to the country. May their souls rest in eternal peace.

I somehow got hold of a copy of thepost newspaper and read a mind-blowing piece written my Ntate Maqutu. Wow! What a breath of fresh air. The piece was on the decolonisation of education in Lesotho. I make a standing ovation after reading the piece because it was out of this world. First class!

The piece gave me a break from reading about Covid-19 horror stories. We need more and more people like Ntate Maqutu to give us their perspective on life.
In fact, we need professionals to write and air their views. This is what I find frustrating about our intellectuals. They tend to sit back and watch the situation deteriorate day-by-day.

Let’s talk about our statisticians for a minute. The Covid-19 situation was a matter of statistical analysis from the onset. Right from day one but the statisticians were all hiding under the bed. Or is it in the wardrobe like one notorious gentleman from Maseru.
I understand that he was once found in a squashed posture hiding in wardrobe. As the owner of the house tried to change his clothes after a day of hard work, when he opened the wardrobe to change, he found a man with eyes popping out in a foetus posture, a iphinne sekoloto.

Advertisement

The owner of the house said, “hee monna, u batlang ka haka ka moo”. The man in the wardrobe answered back and said, “ke emetse taxi.”
This is the situation with our professionals and intellectuals in Lesotho. They know how to play hide and seek. For instance, where is the Statistician General? Does Lesotho even have a statistician general?

Where are the lecturers in the Statistics department at the National University of Lesotho? They all went silent and gave politicians a platform to talk crap all day from the Command Centre.
You know, when you watch a politician on LTV and they mumble a whole lot of nothing about something they know nothing about and you are thinking, “what’s this Ntate saying?”

Talking about the Covid-19 disaster, I think we can all agree that the Lesotho government was caught with it pants down. In fact, we were all caught with our pants down. Largely because of our complacency caused by how we started with the notion of zero infections. The curse of zero infections!

Let us all be honest, we mismanaged the Covid crisis from day one. I remember writing about this issue during the hard lockdown, sometime last year and commenting about the dangers of claiming to have zero infections. I think this was sometime in May 2020 when there were talks of unseating Ntate Tom.
So our politicians found it fit to unseat Ntate Tom and claim to have zero infections. That false claim went on to set a very dangerous precedent because Basotho gained a false sense of belief that they are immune to the Covid-19 virus. This gave Basotho a chance to indulge in very risky behaviour.
I remember walking into Ouh-la-la one morning, last year, when the hard lockdown was eased and found a bunch of adults making false claims about reasons why there are zero infections in Lesotho. Moreover, on reasons why Basotho people are immune to the Covid-19 virus. So, you can just imagine how mediocre the conversation was.
One of the assumptions was that, because of Lesotho’s altitude, the Covid-19 virus can’t survive in the cold temperatures. Then came another view. “No, Basotho are immune to the Covid-19 virus because of the BCG vaccine.”
Then came another view, “No, the Covid-19 virus thrives where the air is polluted. Lesotho has very clean and fresh air for the virus to survive.” Well, those were-wide ranging views on why Basotho were immune to the Covid-19 virus mainly due to the mystery of zero infections.
But I think Lesotho has been let down by its statisticians mainly because they should’ve stood up and built a model called a hypothesis to quell or squash unfounded myths and dangerous assumptions of zero infections.
What our statisticians should’ve done during the chaotic moments of the Command Centre, is to build a model we call a hypothesis and make assumptions of what the possible statistics could be, mainly based on the data collected from South Africa.

This is what I would’ve done. Let’s take this example for example: Lesotho is surrounded by three provinces, namely; the Free-State province, Kwazulu-Natal and the Eastern Cape province.
I would have drawn three graphs based on the results and created a median graph that would tell me more or less where Lesotho would be.
I mean I’m not a statistician but the way we always try to run our country without solid statistics is just mind boggling to say the least. Have you seen a statistician from Nacosec justifying the figures that we keep on receiving and the basis of collecting the data?

Advertisement

No! It is because there’s a sub-culture of undermining the value of statistics in Lesotho and where are the people from the Bureau of Statistics? They should be at the core of Nacosec. Right in the middle.
In conclusion, Ka nnete our academics and professionals need to stop this fear of writing and commenting on things they have expert knowledge on instead of sitting at home and giving empty vessels a platform to talk all day on various radio stations. Bo-Harvest.

I mean I’m not an expert on economics or statistics but some of us feel compelled to write because the brains of this country are just afraid to voice their views on expert knowledge.
Let’s get into the culture of writing and documenting our history. There’s an open platform to write here at thepost newspaper. Air your views to the managingeditor@thepost.co.ls.
Lastly, our statisticians need to wake up. The figures that we keep on receiving from NACOSEC need some form of verification. The Department of Statistics at NUL, Wake-up! Wake-up! Wake-up!

Mako Bohloa

Advertisement
Advertisement

Insight

A wasted opportunity to reset

Published

on

The year 2024 is behind us now. It was a year in which we were told Basotho were 200 years old as a nation. The facts tell us differently. If we follow them, Basotho nation was 204 years old in 2024. Also, if we follow the facts, Basotho nation was established in Botha Bothe, not Thaba Bosiu.

None of this may matter very much but it must be known. Botha Bothe has been denied its rightful place as a place where the Basotho nation was formed.

Like an older man who is fond of younger girls, or an older woman who is fond of younger boys, we reduced our age mainly in order to suit the significance that has been accorded Thaba Bosiu at the expense of Basotho’s other mountain fortresses — for example, Mount Moorosi and Botha Bothe Mountain.

They say history is written by the victors, and the powerful. Until our current social order changes, what the powerful consider to be the truth will remain as it was given to us in 2024 — that, as a nation we were 200 years old in 2024, and that the Basotho nation emerged at their one and only fortress, Thaba Bosiu.

This story had to remain this way because too much political and financial investment has gone into Thaba Bosiu, and we cannot afford to change stories about it.

This article is not about quibbling about how old we are as a nation, and where the Basotho nation was formed. Rather the article is about what we achieved in 2004 in our celebration of 200 years of our nationhood.

Out of lack of any interest, or out of lacking any ideas, our politicians kept mum about what they would like to see the nation achieve as part of our celebrations. So, justifiably, they can tell us to bugger off, if we ask them whether they have anything to show from the 2024 celebrations. We cannot bother them about what we achieved because they never made any promises.

In November, 2024, a friend was asked at a public seminar: What lessons have we learnt about Basotho pre-colonial political leadership during our 200th anniversary celebrations?

In response, he made one of the most brilliant statements that can be made about what happened in Lesotho during 2024. He said, in 2024 all we did was, on the one hand, to be nostalgic about the good old past where political leaders (i.e. chiefs) respected their followers, communities shared what they had, and, within communities, human security was guaranteed everyone.

On the other hand, we continued to treat one another the way we always do: we continued to employ socio-economic systems—and to practise policies—that are responsible for socio-economic inequality in Lesotho, where many families, including children, go to bed hungry every day.

One of the things we should have done to celebrate 2024 years of our existence as a nation was to re-consider our adoption of systems and policies that leave many Basotho poor and hungry.

For having done none of this, as a nation, we remain with serious problems that need to be stated repeatedly because it seems that those in power do not get to see them in reality.

Being given just the numbers of hungry families, and being told, with satisfaction, that they are falling, will always be meaningless when you meet a hungry woman with a child on her back, and holding another by the hand—as we do in our villages—asking for food, or money to buy food.

In official statistics, she may be a single case that does not change the fact that government is succeeding in the distribution of food aid. That is not the way she may see things.

To her, she and her children are not part of some percentage—20%, 10%, 15%, etc.—that government may not have reached. She and her children are 100%, and more. They are not 20% hungry; they are more than 100% hungry.

Neither did the killing, the rape and abuse of children and the elderly stop in 2024, nor did we take the celebration of our nationhood as an opportunity to think about how to stop all this.

We are a deeply unequal society with very unacceptable indicators of human security. Action to address the welfare of the most vulnerable sections of society—women, children, the elderly—remains terribly inadequate.

Their lot remains poverty, hunger and fear for their lives.

In our celebrations of 200 years of our nationhood, perhaps one of the things we should have done is to commit ourselves to the formulation of a socio-economic system that secures the welfare of the most vulnerable sections of society.

Continue Reading

Insight

Down in the Dump: Conclusion

Published

on

I closed last week by recording the dreadful news that trashy Trump had been elected called to mind WB Yeats’s poem “The Second Coming.” This is the poem whose opening lines gave Chinua Achebe the phrase “things fall apart.”

Yeats observes “Things fall apart, the centre cannot hold / Mere anarchy is loosed upon the world.”

It was written in 1919 and controversially uses Christian imagery relating to the Apocalypse and the Second Coming to reflect on the atmosphere in Europe following the slaughter of the First World War and the devastating flu epidemic that followed this.

It also reflects on the Irish War of Independence against British rule.

In lines that I can now read as if applying to the recent American election, Yeats mourns: “The best lack all conviction, while the worst / Are full of passionate intensity.”

And then I can visualise Trump in the poem’s closing lines: “What rough beast is this, its hour come round at last, / Slouching towards Bethlehem to be born?”

Trump is certainly a rough beast and isn’t the choice of verb, slouching, just perfect? For a non-allegorical account of the threat posed by the Dump, I can’t do better than to quote (as I often do) that fine South African political journalist, Will Shoki. In his words: “Trump’s administration simply won’t care about Palestinians, about the DRC, about the Sudanese.

It will be indifferent to the plight of the downtrodden and the oppressed, who will be portrayed as weak and pathetic. And it will give carte blanche [that is, free rein] to despotism and tyranny everywhere.

Not even social media, that once revered third-space we associated with subversion and revolution in the first quarter of the 21st century can save us because Silicon Valley is in Trump’s back pocket.”

So what follows the triumph of the Dump? We can’t just sit down and moan and bemoan. In a more recent piece of hers than the one I quoted last week, Rebecca Solnit has observed: “Authoritarians like Trump love fear, defeatism, surrender. Do not give them what they want . . . We must lay up supplies of love, care, trust, community and resolve — so we may resist the storm.”

Katt Lissard tells me that on November 7th following the confirmation of the election result, in the daytime and well into the evening in Manhattan, New York, there was a large demonstration in support of the immigrants Trump despises.

And a recent piece by Natasha Lennard gives us courage in its title “The Answer to Trump’s Victory is Radical Action.”

So, my Basotho readers, how about the peaceful bearing of some placards in front of the US Embassy in Maseru? Because the Dump doesn’t like you guys and gals one little bit.

One last morsel. I had intended to end this piece with the above call to action, but can’t resist quoting the following comment from the New York Times of November 13th on Trump’s plans to appoint his ministers.

I’m not sure a satirical gibe was intended (the clue is in the repeated use of the word “defence”), but it made me guffaw nonetheless. “Trump will nominate Pete Hegseth, a Fox News host with no government experience, as his defence secretary. Hegseth has often defended Trump on TV.” You see, it’s all about the Dump.

  • Chris Dunton is a former Professor of English and Dean of Humanities at the National University of Lesotho.

 

Continue Reading

Insight

A question of personal gain

Published

on

Recently, an audio recording featuring the distressed MP for Thaba-Bosiu Constituency, Joseph Malebaleba, circulated on social media. The MP appears to have spent a sleepless night, struggling with the situation in which he and his associates from the Revolution for Prosperity (RFP) party were denied a school feeding tender valued at M250 million per annum.

In 2022, Lesotho’s political landscape underwent a significant shift with the emergence of the RFP led by some of the country’s wealthiest individuals. Among them was Samuel Ntsokoane Matekane, arguably one of the richest people in Lesotho, who took the helm as the party’s leader and ultimately, the Prime Minister of Lesotho.

The RFP’s victory in the general election raised eyebrows, and their subsequent actions have sparked concerns about the motivations behind their involvement in politics.

In an interview with an American broadcasting network just after he won the elections, Matekane made a striking statement, proclaiming that he would run Lesotho exactly as he runs his business.

At first glance, many thought he was joking, but as time has shown, his words were far from an idle threat. In the business world, the primary goal is to maximize profits, and it appears that the RFP is adopting a similar approach to governance.

Behind the scenes, alarming developments have been unfolding. A communication from an RFP WhatsApp group revealed a disturbing request from the Minister of Communications, Nthati Moorosi, who asked if anyone in the group had a construction business and could inbox her.

This raises questions about the RFP’s focus on using government resources to benefit their own business interests.

The government has been embroiled in a series of scandals that have raised serious concerns about the ethical conduct of its officials. Recent reports have revealed shocking incidents of misuse of public funds and conflicts of interest among key government figures.

Over the past two years, the RFP has been accused of awarding government contracts to companies affiliated with their members, further solidifying concerns about their self-serving agenda. For instance, vehicles purchased for the police were allegedly sourced from suppliers connected to a Minister’s son and MP.

The MP for Peka, Mohopoli Monokoane, was found to have hijacked fertiliser intended to support impoverished farmers, diverting crucial resources away from those in need for personal gain.

Such actions not only betray the trust of the public but also have a direct impact on the livelihoods of vulnerable communities. Monokoane appeared before the courts of law this week.

While farmers voice their concerns regarding fertiliser shortages, it seems that Bishop Teboho Ramela of St. Paul African Apostolic Church, who is also a businessman, is allegedly involved in a corrupt deal concerning a M10 million fertilizer allocation, benefiting from connections with wealthy individuals in government.

The procurement of fertiliser appears to be mired in controversy; recall that the Minister of Agriculture, Food Security and Nutrition, Thabo Mofosi, was also implicated in the M43 million tender.

The renovation of government buildings with elaborate lighting systems was contracted to a company owned by the son of an MP. The RFP’s enthusiasm for infrastructure development, specifically road construction and maintenance, is also tainted by self-interest, as they have companies capable of performing these tasks and supplying the necessary materials, such as asphalt.

Minister Moteane finds himself in a compromising situation regarding a lucrative M100 million airport tender that was awarded to his former company. Ministers have even gone so far as to award themselves ownership of diamond mines.

Meanwhile, the nation struggles with national identification and passport shortages, which according to my analysis the RFP seems hesitant to address until they can find a way to partner with an international company that will benefit their own interests.

The people of Lesotho are left wondering if their leaders are truly committed to serving the nation or simply lining their own pockets. As the RFP’s grip on power tightens, the consequences for Lesotho’s democracy and economy hang precariously in the balance.

It is imperative that citizens remain vigilant and demand transparency and accountability from their leaders, lest the nation slide further into an era of self-serving governance.

In conclusion, the RFP’s dominance has raised serious concerns about the motives behind their involvement in politics. The apparent prioritisation of personal profit over public welfare has sparked widespread disillusionment and mistrust among the population.

As Lesotho navigates this critical juncture, it is essential that its leaders are held accountable for their actions and that the nation’s best interests are placed above those of individuals.

Only through collective effort and a strong commitment to transparency and accountability can Lesotho ensure a brighter future for all its citizens.

Ramahooana Matlosa

Continue Reading
Advertisement

ADVERTISEMENT

Advertisement
Advertisement

Trending