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Will he cross the Rubicon on the 24th?

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There was mounting international pressure on the South African apartheid regime to release Nelson Mandela.
The world had had enough. The time for South Africa to finally rid itself of apartheid had arrived. It could no longer be postponed.
Buckling under pressure, P W Botha and several of his senior members of Cabinet secretly met and acknowledged that the status quo could no longer be maintained.
Apartheid had to make way for a new Constitutional path for South Africa.

It was expected that major reforms including the release of Mandela would be announced on 15 August 1985 at the National Party congress in Natal.
This expectation increased when Pik Botha the Minister of Foreign Affairs at the time told the world to definitely expect a radical policy shift by the apartheid regime.
So the entire world waited with great anticipation to hear if President Botha would free Nelson Mandela and unban the African National Congress.
This was a defining moment. One of those rare moments in history i.e. a point in time when history is made.

But when he eventually delivered his speech, the world was disappointed. His speech deviated from his original prepared speech. He delivered his regular “Black and Communist” nonsense that South Africans and the world had come to know him for.

P W Botha had failed to identify and to take advantage of this defining moment. He had failed to cross the Rubicon i.e. to pass a point of no return.
What could easily have become his greatest moment in history became his lowest point.

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The international community imposed economic sanctions that saw the rand tumble to unprecedented lows. The economy was pushed to the brink of bankruptcy and civil unrest in the country escalated as economic and diplomatic sanctions were intensified.

August 15, 1985 served as the beginning of the end for the once powerful P W Botha. His grip on power and influence in the National Party and government had started to weaken.
He resigned the leadership of the ruling National Party in February 1989. Six months later, he was forced to resign from the presidency as well. He was succeeded by F W de Klerk.
On February 2, 1990, F W de Klerk made the announcement that Botha had failed to make. He announced the release of Nelson Mandela and the unbanning of the ANC, PAC, SACP and other liberation movements.

This set South Africa firmly on a new path. Catastrophe was averted because De Klerk had the courage to do what was best for all South Africans and not just the white minority.
For his efforts, he was awarded the Nobel Peace prize jointly with Mandela in 1993.

As for PW Botha, he retired to a place next to George a defeated man. He kept away from public life and died of a heart attack in October 2006 aged 90.
I have often wondered what thoughts pre-occupied his mind as he lived out the last days of his life in a free and much better off South Africa where the majority ruled.
Did he regret not having announced the end of the cruel and repressive apartheid system when he had the chance?
Did it bother him that he is remembered as the last defender of a system that dehumanised and robbed black people of dignity?
It must have been tough for him.

Perhaps he thought a lot about August 15, 1985 and wished he could have done things differently. And perhaps he didn’t. I do not know.
But let’s imagine in his final days he did have regrets and he cherished the opportunity to rewrite history.
Let’s imagine he is granted his wish. He is reincarnated. He is no longer the President of the Republic of South Africa but the Prime Minister of Lesotho.
I know it’s silly but just play along.

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Imagine he has another speech to deliver. But this time, it is not at the National Party Natal congress but in the Parliament of Lesotho. The date is not August 15, 1985 but February 24, 2017.
With the benefit of hindsight, would he recognise February 24, 2017 as another defining moment?  It is a defining moment because on that day, Lesotho will either assert or undermine the concept of majority rule. This is no different from the situation he faced in August 1985.  Regardless of what happens, the very foundations of our democratic order will be tested. There will be those who will defend the democratic order and those who will be intent to destroy it.
Which of these sides will he align with?

Will his speech be the same “Black and Communist” nonsense that he was known for in the past — the stuff which polarised the nation and unleashed unprecedented social and political upheaval and economic decline?  Or will his speech give hope to a despondent nation? Will it strengthen the nations’ belief and conviction in democracy and enhance trust in politicians?
We would have to wait and see.

Hopefully he has learned that majority rule is a good thing and not a bad thing because it affirms a basic democratic principle that the majority have an indisputable right to govern and not the minority.

Hopefully his actions will not be self-centred but motivated by compassion and the genuine desire to make Lesotho and Basotho stronger and not weaker.
Hopefully he has realised the potential that one missed opportunity has to set in motion events that can quickly jettison a person to the s**t hole of history.

He has seen what things look like from the s**t hole. He has seen first-hand how his name is omitted when great leaders on the continent are mentioned.
His eleven years at the helm of South Africa count for nothing. They elicit painful and sad memories.
His legacy symbolises apartheid. His name comes up only when the worst leaders on the continent are discussed.
That’s how he is remembered.

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History is impartial and impersonal. It records facts for what they are. The good things however are seldom remembered. The bad things are always remembered.
Because PW Botha failed to cross the Rubicon, i.e. usher in majority rule, he is remembered as an opponent of democracy and the arch defender of apartheid.
But fortunately for him, he has been given a second chance i.e. 24 February 2017 to get on the right side of history.

Let’s hope this time he crosses the Rubicon because if he doesn’t, he will forever be remembered for his misjudgements and anything good he ever did will never be acknowledged.

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Insight

A wasted opportunity to reset

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The year 2024 is behind us now. It was a year in which we were told Basotho were 200 years old as a nation. The facts tell us differently. If we follow them, Basotho nation was 204 years old in 2024. Also, if we follow the facts, Basotho nation was established in Botha Bothe, not Thaba Bosiu.

None of this may matter very much but it must be known. Botha Bothe has been denied its rightful place as a place where the Basotho nation was formed.

Like an older man who is fond of younger girls, or an older woman who is fond of younger boys, we reduced our age mainly in order to suit the significance that has been accorded Thaba Bosiu at the expense of Basotho’s other mountain fortresses — for example, Mount Moorosi and Botha Bothe Mountain.

They say history is written by the victors, and the powerful. Until our current social order changes, what the powerful consider to be the truth will remain as it was given to us in 2024 — that, as a nation we were 200 years old in 2024, and that the Basotho nation emerged at their one and only fortress, Thaba Bosiu.

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This story had to remain this way because too much political and financial investment has gone into Thaba Bosiu, and we cannot afford to change stories about it.

This article is not about quibbling about how old we are as a nation, and where the Basotho nation was formed. Rather the article is about what we achieved in 2004 in our celebration of 200 years of our nationhood.

Out of lack of any interest, or out of lacking any ideas, our politicians kept mum about what they would like to see the nation achieve as part of our celebrations. So, justifiably, they can tell us to bugger off, if we ask them whether they have anything to show from the 2024 celebrations. We cannot bother them about what we achieved because they never made any promises.

In November, 2024, a friend was asked at a public seminar: What lessons have we learnt about Basotho pre-colonial political leadership during our 200th anniversary celebrations?

In response, he made one of the most brilliant statements that can be made about what happened in Lesotho during 2024. He said, in 2024 all we did was, on the one hand, to be nostalgic about the good old past where political leaders (i.e. chiefs) respected their followers, communities shared what they had, and, within communities, human security was guaranteed everyone.

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On the other hand, we continued to treat one another the way we always do: we continued to employ socio-economic systems—and to practise policies—that are responsible for socio-economic inequality in Lesotho, where many families, including children, go to bed hungry every day.

One of the things we should have done to celebrate 2024 years of our existence as a nation was to re-consider our adoption of systems and policies that leave many Basotho poor and hungry.

For having done none of this, as a nation, we remain with serious problems that need to be stated repeatedly because it seems that those in power do not get to see them in reality.

Being given just the numbers of hungry families, and being told, with satisfaction, that they are falling, will always be meaningless when you meet a hungry woman with a child on her back, and holding another by the hand—as we do in our villages—asking for food, or money to buy food.

In official statistics, she may be a single case that does not change the fact that government is succeeding in the distribution of food aid. That is not the way she may see things.

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To her, she and her children are not part of some percentage—20%, 10%, 15%, etc.—that government may not have reached. She and her children are 100%, and more. They are not 20% hungry; they are more than 100% hungry.

Neither did the killing, the rape and abuse of children and the elderly stop in 2024, nor did we take the celebration of our nationhood as an opportunity to think about how to stop all this.

We are a deeply unequal society with very unacceptable indicators of human security. Action to address the welfare of the most vulnerable sections of society—women, children, the elderly—remains terribly inadequate.

Their lot remains poverty, hunger and fear for their lives.

In our celebrations of 200 years of our nationhood, perhaps one of the things we should have done is to commit ourselves to the formulation of a socio-economic system that secures the welfare of the most vulnerable sections of society.

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Insight

Down in the Dump: Conclusion

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I closed last week by recording the dreadful news that trashy Trump had been elected called to mind WB Yeats’s poem “The Second Coming.” This is the poem whose opening lines gave Chinua Achebe the phrase “things fall apart.”

Yeats observes “Things fall apart, the centre cannot hold / Mere anarchy is loosed upon the world.”

It was written in 1919 and controversially uses Christian imagery relating to the Apocalypse and the Second Coming to reflect on the atmosphere in Europe following the slaughter of the First World War and the devastating flu epidemic that followed this.

It also reflects on the Irish War of Independence against British rule.

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In lines that I can now read as if applying to the recent American election, Yeats mourns: “The best lack all conviction, while the worst / Are full of passionate intensity.”

And then I can visualise Trump in the poem’s closing lines: “What rough beast is this, its hour come round at last, / Slouching towards Bethlehem to be born?”

Trump is certainly a rough beast and isn’t the choice of verb, slouching, just perfect? For a non-allegorical account of the threat posed by the Dump, I can’t do better than to quote (as I often do) that fine South African political journalist, Will Shoki. In his words: “Trump’s administration simply won’t care about Palestinians, about the DRC, about the Sudanese.

It will be indifferent to the plight of the downtrodden and the oppressed, who will be portrayed as weak and pathetic. And it will give carte blanche [that is, free rein] to despotism and tyranny everywhere.

Not even social media, that once revered third-space we associated with subversion and revolution in the first quarter of the 21st century can save us because Silicon Valley is in Trump’s back pocket.”

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So what follows the triumph of the Dump? We can’t just sit down and moan and bemoan. In a more recent piece of hers than the one I quoted last week, Rebecca Solnit has observed: “Authoritarians like Trump love fear, defeatism, surrender. Do not give them what they want . . . We must lay up supplies of love, care, trust, community and resolve — so we may resist the storm.”

Katt Lissard tells me that on November 7th following the confirmation of the election result, in the daytime and well into the evening in Manhattan, New York, there was a large demonstration in support of the immigrants Trump despises.

And a recent piece by Natasha Lennard gives us courage in its title “The Answer to Trump’s Victory is Radical Action.”

So, my Basotho readers, how about the peaceful bearing of some placards in front of the US Embassy in Maseru? Because the Dump doesn’t like you guys and gals one little bit.

One last morsel. I had intended to end this piece with the above call to action, but can’t resist quoting the following comment from the New York Times of November 13th on Trump’s plans to appoint his ministers.

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I’m not sure a satirical gibe was intended (the clue is in the repeated use of the word “defence”), but it made me guffaw nonetheless. “Trump will nominate Pete Hegseth, a Fox News host with no government experience, as his defence secretary. Hegseth has often defended Trump on TV.” You see, it’s all about the Dump.

  • Chris Dunton is a former Professor of English and Dean of Humanities at the National University of Lesotho.

 

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Insight

A question of personal gain

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Recently, an audio recording featuring the distressed MP for Thaba-Bosiu Constituency, Joseph Malebaleba, circulated on social media. The MP appears to have spent a sleepless night, struggling with the situation in which he and his associates from the Revolution for Prosperity (RFP) party were denied a school feeding tender valued at M250 million per annum.

In 2022, Lesotho’s political landscape underwent a significant shift with the emergence of the RFP led by some of the country’s wealthiest individuals. Among them was Samuel Ntsokoane Matekane, arguably one of the richest people in Lesotho, who took the helm as the party’s leader and ultimately, the Prime Minister of Lesotho.

The RFP’s victory in the general election raised eyebrows, and their subsequent actions have sparked concerns about the motivations behind their involvement in politics.

In an interview with an American broadcasting network just after he won the elections, Matekane made a striking statement, proclaiming that he would run Lesotho exactly as he runs his business.

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At first glance, many thought he was joking, but as time has shown, his words were far from an idle threat. In the business world, the primary goal is to maximize profits, and it appears that the RFP is adopting a similar approach to governance.

Behind the scenes, alarming developments have been unfolding. A communication from an RFP WhatsApp group revealed a disturbing request from the Minister of Communications, Nthati Moorosi, who asked if anyone in the group had a construction business and could inbox her.

This raises questions about the RFP’s focus on using government resources to benefit their own business interests.

The government has been embroiled in a series of scandals that have raised serious concerns about the ethical conduct of its officials. Recent reports have revealed shocking incidents of misuse of public funds and conflicts of interest among key government figures.

Over the past two years, the RFP has been accused of awarding government contracts to companies affiliated with their members, further solidifying concerns about their self-serving agenda. For instance, vehicles purchased for the police were allegedly sourced from suppliers connected to a Minister’s son and MP.

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The MP for Peka, Mohopoli Monokoane, was found to have hijacked fertiliser intended to support impoverished farmers, diverting crucial resources away from those in need for personal gain.

Such actions not only betray the trust of the public but also have a direct impact on the livelihoods of vulnerable communities. Monokoane appeared before the courts of law this week.

While farmers voice their concerns regarding fertiliser shortages, it seems that Bishop Teboho Ramela of St. Paul African Apostolic Church, who is also a businessman, is allegedly involved in a corrupt deal concerning a M10 million fertilizer allocation, benefiting from connections with wealthy individuals in government.

The procurement of fertiliser appears to be mired in controversy; recall that the Minister of Agriculture, Food Security and Nutrition, Thabo Mofosi, was also implicated in the M43 million tender.

The renovation of government buildings with elaborate lighting systems was contracted to a company owned by the son of an MP. The RFP’s enthusiasm for infrastructure development, specifically road construction and maintenance, is also tainted by self-interest, as they have companies capable of performing these tasks and supplying the necessary materials, such as asphalt.

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Minister Moteane finds himself in a compromising situation regarding a lucrative M100 million airport tender that was awarded to his former company. Ministers have even gone so far as to award themselves ownership of diamond mines.

Meanwhile, the nation struggles with national identification and passport shortages, which according to my analysis the RFP seems hesitant to address until they can find a way to partner with an international company that will benefit their own interests.

The people of Lesotho are left wondering if their leaders are truly committed to serving the nation or simply lining their own pockets. As the RFP’s grip on power tightens, the consequences for Lesotho’s democracy and economy hang precariously in the balance.

It is imperative that citizens remain vigilant and demand transparency and accountability from their leaders, lest the nation slide further into an era of self-serving governance.

In conclusion, the RFP’s dominance has raised serious concerns about the motives behind their involvement in politics. The apparent prioritisation of personal profit over public welfare has sparked widespread disillusionment and mistrust among the population.

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As Lesotho navigates this critical juncture, it is essential that its leaders are held accountable for their actions and that the nation’s best interests are placed above those of individuals.

Only through collective effort and a strong commitment to transparency and accountability can Lesotho ensure a brighter future for all its citizens.

Ramahooana Matlosa

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